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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Mike Buckley who wrote (20844)	3/20/2000 7:36:00 PM
From: Todd Rumph	Read Replies (4) of 54805

There is the small problem of finding a 30-year investment... (Anyone know the prevalence of equities with a 15% CAGR over a 30 year term?) Just suggesting that the short-term model (two years short-term? in this market??) does offer the real benefit of flexibility and is probably more realistic. At best, an intermediate model with a hold time of, say, 5 years, is more plausible. Or maybe I should put it as a challenge: You pick a basket of equities for a 30-year haul. I buy and sell anything at any time. Who will finish ahead? Most investors feel more comfortable with the second approach. I agree that all too many take this second approach to extremes, going in and out of the market at the drop of an analyst's plumed hat. (Personally, I'm a long-term extremist -- I hold for years at a time, but fully reserve the right to admit my investment choices are wrong.) Todd

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