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Gold/Mining/Energy : Star Data Systems Inc. (STY,T)

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To: Randall Cunningham who wrote ()3/22/2000 4:49:00 PM
From: Mitchell  Read Replies (1) of 267
 
A rising star
15/03/2000

By D.Westerman

The proliferation of market information on the web has been astounding over the past
year. Publications offer numerous services to their respective clientele. The services
vary from stock quotes, market values of portfolios to alerts on stocks when they have
hit price targets. Have you ever considered where this information is actually coming
from? Are there any large players with great market share? A couple of names come
to mind. Bloomberg and Reuters have been the two killer applications in this area for
quite some time. A little (by market cap $85 million) known Canadian company has
been rapidly taking market share away from the larger players. The company has now
reached a record level of 16 000 workstations that use their software. Clients include
CIBC Wood Gundy, Cannacord Capital with more than 700 Investment Advisors across
the country as well as Nesbitt Burns implementation of the product in over 147 offices
reaching over 4 300 individuals. Star Data STY.TO has developed technology that
mitigates the complexity of settlements within the electronic segment of wealth
management. Appeal for the e-settlement technology has been growing rapidly.

The landscape of the financial industry is ever changing. Years ago settlement was
done over a period of a week. It has since evolved into trade date plus three. Pressure
is increasing within the industry to move towards trade date plus one which would
mean all transactions would have to settle within 24 hours. The implementation of this
standard may occur in 2002. Star Data is the only company in Canada with the
technology and the experience to do it. The company has been developing the
technology for over four years and has spent more than $20 million to insure the
success of e-settlement.

Star Data has recently added a strong contingent of directors to its arsenal. They
include Aubrey W. Baillie, former Deputy Chairman and Chief Operating Officer of
Nesbitt Burns, Sydney R. McMorran most recently Vice Chairman of the Toronto
Dominion Bank prior to his retirement in 1998 and Donald P. Woodley, recently retired
President of Oracle Corporation of Canada. These individuals have access to some of
the biggest players within the financial industry as well as the technology industry.
George A. Cope President and CEO of Clearnet Communications also sits on the
board. Star Data seems to have covered all the bases in terms of the possibility of joint
ventures arising from the strong network of directors.

To validate the worth of Star Data we must delve into the financials (although the
mention of e-settlement might be enough for some). The past two quarters have seen
Star Data return to profitability. For the three months ending November 30, 1999 cash
flow from operations were $4.4 million up 24% from $3.6 million last year. Earnings per
share for the three months was .07 cents fully diluted as compared to .01 cent for the
previous year. Star Data has earned .13 cents for the first six months of their fiscal
year as compared to .02 cents last year. Revenue in the area of wealth management
solutions has grown by over 17% for the first six months of this fiscal year. Star Data
has increased revenues from $31 million in 1995 to over $75 million in 1999 this
equates into a CAGR of 24.5%. The increase in earnings could just be the tip of the
iceberg as more and more companies move toward e-settlement.

In February 1999, the Board of Directors discontinued its efforts to find a buyer for the
company. The stock at the time was trading around $6.00. The premium that was
offered to the company obviously was not enough. The trading range had been
between $3.00 - $3.40 since July of 1999 but with recent improvements in the
fundamentals the stock moved above $5.00 on more than 8x it's normal volume! Star
Data released their second quarter numbers on Dec.16 with little market appreciation.
Does this mean the market took a couple of months to acknowledge what might be
developing with this company or is it indicative of the sentiment that a buyer may
come into the market for Star Data? The price tag is now 30% less than a year ago
and the fundamentals are much stronger. The current price tag of STY is $4.30. Star
Data should be evaluated not only on a P/E level but as well as P/S. The plausibility of
Star Data exiting this fiscal year with .25 cents fully diluted is conservative. The .25
cents would give STY a 17x multiple on fiscal 2000 earnings. On a price to sales
multiple STY trades at approximately 1 time it's sales per share. The market will soon
take notice of the changing fundamentals of STY and will reward it with a larger P/S
multiple. A multiple of 2x price to sales gives us $8.60 price tag.

An attempt to notify the public of an undervalued share price was made on March 9 as
Star Data announced a normal course issuer bid. A maximum of 5% of the
outstanding shares are to be acquired.

Next time you are looking up stock quotes either in the National Post or the Globe and
Mail take a look at who is supplying the information and if you get a chance take a
look at a quote of STY.
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