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Politics : Ask Michael Burke
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To: Bill F. who wrote (78527)3/24/2000 8:18:00 AM
From: gnuman  Read Replies (1) of 132070
 
Bill F. re: Maria and hubby
Someone needs to remind them that when Moore put forth his famous "Law" in 1965 it pertained to DRAM. It's still in effect. From Intel's site:

In 1965, Gordon Moore was preparing a speech and made a
memorable observation. When he started to graph data about the
growth in memory chip performance, he realized there was a
striking trend. Each new chip contained roughly twice as much
capacity as its predecessor, and each chip was released within
18-24 months of the previous chip. If this trend continued, he
reasoned, computing power would rise exponentially over relatively
brief periods of time.

I've seen some ridiculous statements, (ie; Klauer predicting DRAM prices will go up because RDRAM takes more silicon, reducing the amount of silicon available for DRAM).

"We're seeing very favorable additions to Rambus technology - what Rambus technology does is reduce the net supply of DRAMs because they're bigger chips and so net supply ends up going down," Klauer said.

What these people miss is the fact the number of bits available per wafer are growing according to Moore's Law, and probably magnified as wafer size grows. We've seen that in the recent industry forecast that 128Mb DRAM will soon sell for the price of 64Mb DRAM.

JMHO's
Gene
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