MITCHELL TYSON - PRI AUTOMATION INC (PRIA) CEO Interview - published 03/23/2000
DOCUMENT # JAP204
MITCHELL G. TYSON is President and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Tyson was appointed CEO of PRI Automation in August 1998. He joined the company in 1987 as Vice President of Operations and was promoted to Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer in 1990. In 1995, he was named President and a member of the Board of Directors. Mr. Tyson has led PRI's growth from a $4 million manufacturer of robotic systems in 1987 to a $250 million-plus leading supplier of factory automation systems to the global semiconductor industry. From 1984 to 1987, before joining PRI, he held various positions including Director of Product Management at GCA Corp., a manufacturer of semiconductor capital equipment. From 1979 to 1984, he was a Senior Legislative Assistant and Science Advisor to US Senator Paul Tsongas in Washington, DC. He worked on legislation in the fields of industrial and technology policy, energy, environment and economic development. Currently, Mr. Tyson is a member of the Board of Directors of the Semiconductor Industry Suppliers Association of America (formerly SEMI/SEMATECH). In addition, he is also a member of the Board of Directors of the Massachusetts High Technology Council. Mr. Tyson holds a BS in Physics (1975), an MS in Political Science (1978), and an MS in Nuclear Engineering (1978), all from the Massachusetts Institute.
SECTOR: SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT
TWST: Could we start out with of an update on PRI over the last year, what's gone on and where are you at today?
Mr. Tyson: The semiconductor industry is exploding as the demand for chips is skyrocketing. Thus PRI, along with the rest of the semiconductor equipment industry, is ramping up production to meet the new increase in demand for semiconductors. During the last two years, the industry has been in a downturn, but today we are in a period of renewed rapid growth.
TWST: What is causing the upturn?
Mr. Tyson: The increase in demand for semiconductors is being driven by the Internet and wireless communications. PCs used to drive the demand for semiconductor manufacturing, but now there are more and more products using chips and this is increasing the demand for new manufacturing capacity.
TWST: As people try and build capacity, are there any constraints on that in terms of production or financing, or is it just a matter of time?
Mr. Tyson: Semiconductor manufacturers have recovered financially from the downturn, so financing is not a constraint to adding new capacity. One constraint might be how fast the equipment industry can ramp their production in order to produce and deliver the equipment.
TWST: As we look out over the next 18 months, is this going to continue, or are we just really at the beginning of the cycle?
Mr. Tyson: No one in our industry should ever say the cycles are over, but there are indications that this upturn is going to be sustained over a longer period of time than previous upturns. The strength of the increased demand is driven by the Internet and wireless communications. It is having a profound impact on the way we do business, communicate with each other, entertain and educate ourselves. The result of this is that more and more electronic products are using greater amounts of semiconductors. This in turn is driving manufacturers to produce more complex chips at ever lower prices in order to penetrate very large mass consumer markets. This trend could continue to drive demand for another three to five years.
TWST: Given that positive scenario, what does PRI have to do to take full advantage of it?
Mr. Tyson: To remain competitive, semiconductor manufacturers will need to find ways to produce their chips at the lowest cost and in the least amount of time. We believe that automation is the key to unlocking the hidden productivity inside the fab and will play a key role in making fabs highly productive and adaptive manufacturing environments. Fabs will need to become highly efficient and flexible manufacturing 'machines' capable of producing a variety of complex and inexpensive products that address a wide variety of applications. To achieve this, manufacturers will be required to automate their entire manufacturing process. We used the downturn to focus on our strategy of providing a complete range of factory automation systems and software to address these automation requirements. We developed many new products and acquired several companies that we felt extend PRI's product offerings in the areas critical to fab productivity. I think we have made a lot of progress and have the most complete solution of any of our competitors.
TWST: It's really a whole new world in terms of semiconductors at this point.
Mr. Tyson: Ten years ago semiconductor factories were basically laboratories that produced chips. It's only recently that manufacturers have begun to get a higher level of process control and improve yields and equipment reliability. Today, these factories are capable of producing up to 30,000 to 40,000 wafers a month at very high yields. Despite these gains, manufacturing productivity is still relatively low compared to other industries. PRI offers a complete set of automation systems, software and services to help manufacturers create a highly efficient manufacturing environment that can respond rapidly to changing demand.
TWST: Who are you competing with to do this?
Mr. Tyson: PRI is the only company with the breadth of products and experience to meet the demand for a fully automated manufacturing environment. We have three divisions: the factory systems division, which provides our interbay and intrabay products that move materials across the factory and between process tools; the OEM division provides robotic systems and software to the OEM tool manufacturers, and the software systems division provides a wide range of software that manages and controls the flow of data throughout the fab. Our factory management software runs production. Our planning and scheduling software creates resource and materials acquisition plans and schedules shop floor equipment to meet desired production requirements. Our cell control software ensures that the data at the process tool communicate with the factory management host software to help improve yields and tool throughput.
TWST: Given your broad coverage, where is your market position today?
Mr. Tyson: According to Dataquest, PRI has approximately 50% of the worldwide automation market for interbay automation and OEM atmospheric robotic wafer-handling systems. We also have the fastest growing installed base of manufacturing execution system (MES) software customers, winning over 50% of new license sales in 1999.
TWST: Given the bright outlook for the industry, are we likely to see new competition, or does it just take too long to gear up?
Mr. Tyson: I would be surprised if we didn't see some new companies trying to enter the market. But I think the odds of a customer betting a $2 billion factory on a new supplier with a system that may not be proven over a long period of time are unlikely. We certainly have competition in each of the areas in which we compete. Yet, as I mentioned, we still maintain a 50% or better market share. In fact, during the downturn we improved our market share position. We have competition, but I believe that PRI is uniquely positioned because we offer a complete range of automation solutions that address all the key automation requirements inside the fab. We should be in a position several years from now to be able to optimize a factory and demonstrate to a customer that they can improve the output of their factory by over 10%. This kind of productivity improvement could be worth over $100 million to a manufacturer. The only way you can achieve this kind of return is by offering the broad range of automation systems, software and services that PRI offers and make them work together. Only by managing and controlling all of the manufacturing logistics inside the fab can you assure a customer that they can improve the productivity of their fab by at least 10%.
TWST: You've got a strong and unique position in this industry at this point.
Mr. Tyson: We believe we are uniquely positioned to offer the complete range of products and services to help semiconductor manufacturers maximize profits.
TWST: Given that, what kind of growth should investors look for from PRI over the next three or four years?
Mr. Tyson: Given the volatility of our industry, it's so hard to tell, and I know Wall Street is loathe to predict anything much more than 30%. So I believe that you will probably see the industry growing 30% and PRI growing at a rate faster than that because of the increased penetration of automation in next generation fabs. 300mm manufacturing will require full fab automation where the wafer is automatically transported from one process tool loadport to another. This will significantly increase the demand for intrabay automation. To optimize this material handling, manufacturers will need more sophisticated and intelligent software capable of managing the entire production chain. 300mm manufacturing will also create new market opportunities for our OEM systems. For example, in addition to providing our traditional wafer-handling robotic components, we see a new opportunity to create a fully integrated wafer- handling system that is integrated with the front end of the process tool. This system will store wafers at the tool to improve tool utilization and act as an integration point between the process tool and the automation systems in the process bay. These types of expanded automation systems will have a significant impact on average sales prices. Today, a typical 200 millimeter factory has the potential to use $15 million worth of PRI products. In a 300mm factory, we see that growing to between $50 and $75 million of PRI products.
TWST: Is there any question that that transition is going to occur?
Mr. Tyson: No, I don't think there's any question. It's just something that's inevitable. The semiconductor industry has been successful in developing and adopting new technology to keep producing the next generation chip. That's the only way we've been able to keep Moore's Law in effect and continue to produce more powerful chips at lower and lower prices. 300 millimeter wafers provide twice as many chips per wafer as 200 millimeter, helping to lower the cost of chips. A few pilot lines are expected to come online next year with full production to follow over the next two to three years.
TWST: From an operating margin point of view, in this kind of bright outlook, what can the company generate ultimately in terms of an operating margin?
Mr. Tyson: It all depends on the actual timing of the transition to 300mm so I would be reluctant to provide goals and set expectations, but with our strong market position and fast growth I believe that we can beat our semiconductor equipment industry's average.
TWST: For investors looking at the company, what should they worry about? What is the risk? Is it just the general economy at this point?
Mr. Tyson: The general economy is, of course, an important background issue. I think investors need to be concerned that the industry doesn't overbuild. There is no sign of it at this point, but if capital spending as a percentage of semiconductor revenue were to exceed 30% for an extended period of time, that would be a cautionary signal. From PRI's point of view, we need to continue to focus on our core strategy of developing and delivering the most comprehensive set of automation systems and software to meet the changing requirements of semiconductor manufacturers.
TWST: Are there any areas within the company that need to be strengthened at this point to allow you to fully participate?
Mr. Tyson: Our strategy is in place and we are developing our programs and hiring the people we need to successfully implement our strategy. This is a very tight job market and it is a little harder both in Silicon Valley and in Massachusetts, but we have been successful in finding the people that we need.
TWST: You brought up the labor market. Is it as tight as everybody says it is?
Mr. Tyson: It's pretty tight, but we're still able to fill all of our critical positions.
TWST: So it really hasn't been that much of an issue for you.
Mr. Tyson: Today's job market is very different than it was a few years ago. We have been very proactive in developing recruiting strategies to attract the talent we need to continue to grow the company. We know that when we interview people they're looking at several other opportunities, and we need to make competitive offers and we've been able to do that.
TWST: For investors keeping an eye on the company, what can they use as kind of benchmarks or milestones over the next year or two to mark your progress?
Mr. Tyson: I would look at our quarterly reports, market share growth, operating profits, and new product announcements.
TWST: How do you feel about the value the market is currently putting on your stock?
Mr. Tyson: I feel good about it.
TWST: In October of 1998, the stock was $10. At that point, was it at the bottom of the cycle?
Mr. Tyson: That's right, and people were very cautious about predicting when the upturn would come. We are at the beginning of the upturn and I think there is a lot more run in the company's valuation. As this ramp continues, I think the transition to 300 millimeter has tremendous potential to move our company even further.
TWST: Is there anything on the horizon other than the general economy that could derail what's going on?
Mr. Tyson: As long as the information age unfolds the demand for chips will be very large. I don't have any doubt that the demand for semiconductors will continue to be robust.
TWST: If you were sitting down with some potential long-term investors, what two or three reasons would you give them to go out and buy your stock today?
Mr. Tyson: I think the opportunity for PRI is huge, I think the value proposition to customers is great, I think PRI is clearly differentiated from the competition, and I think all that adds up to long-term shareholder value.
TWST: Thank you.
MITCHELL G. TYSON President & CEO PRI Automation, Inc. 805 Middlesex Turnpike Billerica, MA 01821 (978) 670-4270 (978) 670-7599 - FAX
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