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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Charles R who wrote (99946)3/25/2000 11:27:00 PM
From: Petz  Read Replies (1) of 1572567
 
Chuck, re:<Also, the data so far indicates that AMD is delaying bringing Dresden to production status as much as possible because of depreciation issues.>

I disagree. In the CC in January, AMD said that they expected total depreciation for Y2K to run about 600M, "depending on timing." (See JC's excellent Conference Call summary, where it says "Appreciation 600M." jc-news.com )

Currently, depreciation is already running $130M per quarter, not much less than the predicted rate for all of 2000.

Q1=130 Q2=130 Q3=170 Q4=170 would add up to $600M,
but so would a more gradual increase:
Q1=135 Q2=145 Q3=155 Q4=165, or maybe
Q1=135 Q2=150 Q3=155 Q4=160

No matter how you slice it, the increased depreciation of Dresden could not cause more than a $40M jump in depreciation. I doubt AMD would modify their production schedule to be able to report higher earnings. Earnings will be high enough.

Petz
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