How come George Gilder doesn't 'get it'? He is still banging on about that old-fashioned fibre-optics, bandwidth, intelligence at the periphery, dumb in the centre, communications stuff. Sure, that's a growing industry and he is right in all he says, but the next Major Paradigm Shift is already happening over the horizon and it is a VERY big wave. Already, Airy Wave Theory determination says that it is no longer in deep water [meaning water so deep the wave is not touching bottom].
$ill Gates and the JJJ Klan are fighting last century's wars in some atavistic tribal clash between state and 'monopolist'. Weird! It's like watching ants fighting when an ant-eater is lumbering towards them. Blindly they battle on. A bit like I watched a nature program about some big male seals fighting on a beach and suddenly a killer whale swooped up the beach [they were just on the edge] and grabbed the one which thought it had won because the other one started running for it.
Okay, I'm being a bit tongue-in-cheek because the telecosm is just warming up. But IT [TM] is coming. Time moves fast and faster in increasing gravitational fields. Watch time compress as IT [TM] approaches.
George is still operating on the homo-sapiens telecosm paradigm. <By George Gilder
The computer age is over. Bandwidth and now "storewidth", (see sidebar below), eclipse the PC paradigm. PCs remain important but peripheral. After a cataclysmic global run of 30 years, the PC revolution has stiffened into an establishment. So swiftly and subliminally did this silicon tide pass through the economy that many analysts missed much of the motion until it stopped. Then they mistook its dotage for dynamism. It congealed so fast that its Mount Rushmore giants still walk and talk.
Contemplate the monumental frieze looming over the road ahead, which ends at a revolutionary shrine: Bill Gates of Microsoft, Steven Jobs of Apple, Gordon Moore and Andrew Grove of Intel. Still very much around, they beam from magazine covers, iconize companies, orate at Davos and Comdex and publish books (Grove even writes his himself). Jobs launches new products in "insanely great" new tints and hues. Their totems tower over their time: Windows 2000, the millennial operating system launched with 30 million lines of code and a record-setting wild guess of 200,000 bugs; serried ranks of Pentium processors and support chips with scores of millions of transistors and instantly classical names, draining some 80 watts of power, enough to heat an igloo.
These Rushmore men, quick or dead, no longer shape the future. Computers no longer spearhead the economy. The action is elsewhere. The action is in the Telecosm.
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Major Paradigm Shift Happens!
Goodbye San Diego, it was a nice visit...thanks to Ramsey [for a trip on a yacht] and the many people who were part of a nice time. Sorry I didn't catch up with many. Tempus Fugit [which is about the only thing in Latin I know, which means "I'm late and better hurry up". Or maybe they were on to that time dilatation relativity stuff long before Einstein].
Maurice |