While we wait :-)
9:15p EST Sunday, March 26, 2000
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
We have received indirectly a couple of responses from lower levels of the U.S. Treasury Department to the questions posed in GATA's December 9, 1999, open letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers. The wording of the response that cites the Treasury Department's Exchange Stabilization Fund is a bit awkward, perhaps to the point of being tricky, and we're going to press for clarification. Maybe more important, we are still hopeful that our friends in Congress are going to get for us a clearer response from Secretary Summers himself.
The dispatch below was prepared by GATA Chairman Bill Murphy. Please post it as seems useful. We need to continue the clamor.
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
* * *
FROM GATA CHAIRMAN BILL MURPHY
The following letters and excerpts from letters were received by the Gold Anti-Trust Committee on Friday, March 24, 2000.
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DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY Washington, D.C.
March 20, 2000
To: Dale Schnitzler, Grafton, Ohio
Dear Mr. Schntizler:
Recently you wrote a letter to Congressman Sherrod Brown in which you raised a number of questions concerning the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the gold market. Congressman Brown asked in a January 19 letter to the Treasury Department that we respond directly to you. I hope that the following information, which addresses the questions as they pertain to the Treasury Department, will be helpful.
Regarding Question 1, the Treasury Department does not, either on its own behalf or on behalf of others, including other government agencies such as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, lend gold or silver, facilitate the lending of gold and silver, or trade in any securities, such as futures contracts and call and put options, involving gold and silver.
Questions 2 through 8 are not applicable as they presuppose an affirmative answer to Question 1.
Regarding Question 9, the Treasury Department does not own or deal in derivatives that are connected with precious metals, nor do other government agencies write call options against the Treasury's gold holdings.
Question 10 is not applicable because it presupposes an affirmative answer to Question 9.
Question 11 asks whether the Treasury, either directly or through its management of foreign custody accounts, collaborated with the Bank for International Settlements, the Bank of England, or any other central bank with a view to managing, smoothing, or otherwise affecting the market price of gold. The answer to Question 11 is no.
More generally, I would like to underline that the Treasury Department does not seek to manipulate the price of gold, silver, or other precious metals by intervening in or otherwise interfering with the market.
Sincerely,
Marti Thomas Acting Assistant Secretary Legislative Affairs and Public Liaison
c: Representative Sherrod Brown
* * *
DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY Washington, D.C.
Inspector General
February 23, 2000
The Honorable Mitch McConnell United States Senate Washington, D.C. 20510
Dear Senator McConnell:
This is in response to your letter dated December 16, 1999. You asked us to respond to your constituent's questions regarding gold prices and gold industry stocks.
These questions pertain to U.S. Department of Treasury (Treasury) as well as Federal Reserve operations.
We perform annual audits of the United States Mint's Custodial Gold and Silver Reserves and the Exchange Stabilization Fund, which are part of Treasury's operations. However, we have no oversight responsibility for the Federal Reserve and cannot address questions regarding their operations.
I have enclosed a copy of Mr. and Mrs. Rupert L. Raymond's letter to you and provide the following answers to their questions....
I apologize for the delay in responding to your letter. I hope this has not caused any inconvenience for you or your constituents.
Sincerely,
Jeffrey Rush Jr. Inspector General
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The inspector general answers no to all the questions asked in the open letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers that was published by GATA in Roll Call on December 9, 2000.
But the first answer may be of special interest because it does not mention the Exchange Stabilization Fund:
"Question 1. Do the Federal Reserve or the Treasury Department, either on their own behalf or on behalf of others, including other Government agencies, such as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, lend gold or silver, facilitate the lending of gold and silver, or trade in any securities, such as futures contracts and call and put options, involving gold and silver?
"Answer: The Treasury Department does not lend gold or silver, facilitate the lending of gold and silver, or trade in any securities, such as futures contracts and call and put options, involving gold and silver."
* * *
UNITED STATES SENATE Mitch McConnell, Kentucky
Committee: Rules and Administration, Chairman; Agriculture; Appropriations.
Mr. and Mrs. Rupert Raymond Lexington, Kentucky
Dear Mr. and Mrs. Raymond:
Enclosed please find a copy of the response which I recently received from the U.S. Department of Treasury regarding gold prices and gold industry stocks. I hop you find this information helpful....
Sincerely,
Mitch McConnell United States Senator
* * *
Here are some thoughts on these letters from the studious James Turk of the Freemarket Gold and Money Report, www.fgmr.com.
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Hi, Bill:
Thanks for sending to me the two letters from the Treasury Department stating their denial about any involvement in the gold market.
At first blush the letter from Acting Assistant Secretary Marti Thomas looks pretty clear. But as we all know that is what the letter is meant to do. In reality her letter comes up short and is misleading.
You will recall that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan's letter regarding these same issues also looked crystal clear, but on closer examination there were numerous word games in it. Thus, just as Greenspan's letter was in reality misleading, so is the Thomas letter. I offer the following observations to make my point.
The most important statement by Thomas is: "The Treasury Department does not, either on its own behalf or on behalf of others, including other government agencies such as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, lend gold or silver, facilitate the lending of gold and silver, or trade in any securities, such as futures contracts and call and put options, involving gold and silver."
First, note the word "including," which was also used in Mr. Greenspan's letter, instead of the more precise and correct term, "including but not limited to." Thus Thomas is responding only for the Treasury and its action on behalf of the Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF), despite the appearance that the denial is meant to be all-inclusive. So the possibility remains that the Treasury may act on behalf of others, because only the ESF has actually been excluded by the choice of words. Who could those "others" be?
The most obvious answer is the American people collectively because we own the gold reserve. The 262 million ounces of gold at Fort Knox and the other U.S. depositories are not an asset of the federal government, which explains why Treasury Department Inspector General Jeffrey Rush in his letter calls the gold reserve a "custodial" asset. The federal government is acting as custodian on behalf of the American people. Thus, because there is nothing in Thomas's letter to the contrary, one could still assume that the Treasury may be lending out this gold owned by the American people.
Second, note that Thomas' letter mentions the lending of gold and silver only in a non-specific way. It does not specifically mention the U.S. gold reserves. Thus her letter may be technically correct because the Treasury Department presumably does not lend any gold or silver that it may own, such as the working inventory at the U.S. Mint. But this working inventory of the U.S. Mint is inconsequential compared to the gold reserves, which, as explained above, are not addressed in Thomas' letter.
Third, note that the ESF is labeled as a government agency. That to me is news and somewhat surprising. Can a "fund" actually be an "agency"? The implication from the use of the word "agency" is that the ESF is something that exists outside the Treasury Department.
The ESF is actually under the control of the treasury secretary, but from the above statement it would appear that when the treasury secretary directs the ESF, he is doing so in a capacity different from the authority given to him as treasury secretary. Thus, he is wearing two hats -- as treasury secretary and head of the ESF.
Fourth, why didn't Secretary Summers write this letter? Was it because that he knew something as head of the ESF that Thomas in her capacity in the Treasury Department does not know?
Fifth, note that Thomas states that the treasury doesn't intervene on behalf of the ESF. However, she says nothing about whether the ESF intervenes on behalf of the treasury, which is the more realistic alternative. This point is important.
The treasury does not have the manpower and other resources needed to intervene in the markets. Consequently, when some action is taken (for example, the Treasury decides to intervene to manipulate the dollar's exchange rate), the treasury instructs the Federal Reserve to carry out the intervention on the treasury's behalf. Thus, it would appear that Peter Fisher of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has three roles in his responsibilities as the federal government's chief market intervener. When he intervenes in the markets, he can act for the Federal Reserve, the Treasury Department, or the ESF.
Finally, Thomas states: "I would like to underline that the Treasury Department does not seek to manipulate the price of gold, silver, or other precious metals by intervening in or otherwise interfering with the market." Perhaps, but would Treasury Secretary Summers be willing to make this statement about the ESF?
In conclusion, despite the appearances, there is no blanket denial in Acting Assistant Secretary Thomas' letter. Consequently, I remain open-minded about whether the federal government in some capacity, but probably through the ESF, is intervening in the gold market using U.S. gold reserves.
To me the best way to answer the question about whether the federal government is intervening in the gold market is to engage an independent accounting firm to undertake a proper audit of the gold reserve at Fort Knox and the other depositories. This audit needs to include, among other safeguards, a full count of all the bars in storage to ensure that this result tallies with the books and records. It also should include the assaying of a prudent number of bars selected at random to ensure that they contain the weight of fine gold they are said to contain.
A proper audit of the gold reserve will tell us what we will never learn from these disingenuous letters from the Treasury Department, which apparently are designed more to deceive than clear the air.
Sincerely, James Turk
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Anna J. Schwartz is a research associates at the National Bureau of Economic Research and on August 26, 1998, published a paper titled, "Time to Terminate the ESF and the IMF." The following are excerpts from that paper:
"The ESF was conceived to operate in secrecy 'under the exclusive control of the secretary of the treasury, with the approval of the president, whose decisions shall be final and not subject to review by another officer of the United States.' The 1934 act authorized the ESF to deal in gold and foreign exchange in order to stabilize the exchange value of the dollar. The secrecy arrangement was intended to cloak foreign exchange market intervention.
"The law promoted two objectives. The first objective was to conceal from the public and Congress the exchange rates at which foreign currencies were bought and sold, particularly if they involved losses. A second objective was to permit the treasury, if it so desired, to conceal information about any other operations the ESF might undertake....
"Despite its record, the ESF's secrecy has enabled it to survive and expand. The act creating the ESF excluded it from the congressional appropriations process once its initial capitalization was in place. The ESF was intended to be self-financing and was not required to seek annual congressional funding for its operations. The self-financing arrangement contributed to the secrecy of ESF actions, because the fund did not have to justify its expenditures during annual appeals to Congress for appropriations. Modifications have been made regarding the secrecy in which the ESF was designed to operate, but no change has occurred in the status of the secretary of the treasury's decisions as final and not subject to review....
"No challenge to the constitutionality of the ESF seems possible, since ordinary citizens have no standing. The ESF, designed originally as a creature of the executive branch and immune from legislative oversight, breaches the separation of powers...."
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My Take on All This
By Bill Murphy Chairman, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee
Staff members of Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut told Chris Powell, GATA treasurer/secretary, that the Treasury Department had been deluged requests by U.S. representatives and senators for answers to the questions directed to Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers in GATA's open letter in Roll Call on December 9, 1999.
These two letters cited above prove this report to have been correct and give us some idea of how widespread the GATA campaign is, thanks to the effort so many of you are making and how many members of Congress are really being alerted that something is very wrong in the gold market.
GATA is out to find out the truth about why and how the gold price is not allowed to rise. That is all we are after. I agree with James Turk that the answers to our questions to Greenspan and and Summers are inconclusive so far and so will require more probing.
There is a great deal at stake here. Last year the U.S. Treasury Department was urging that the International Monetary Fund sell gold to provide debt relief for poor nations. But 36 of 41 poor nations requested that the IMF NOT sell gold because the low gold price was devastating their mineral-producing economies. The Black Caucus of Congress was against the IMF gold sales, supporting the black populations in gold- producing countries.
So how does the Treasury Department deny that it has been active in holding down the price of gold? The hypocrisy that would be revealed would result in cries of outrage around the world and could hurt Vice President Albert Gore's chance for election as president.
Perhaps the Fed and the Treasury are not involved in the gold market in any way. Should we accept the Treasury responses and Alan Greenspan's response along with the "no" answers to all our questions? Maybe.
But where we would be today if 1) People had just said "OK" when President Nixon said, "I am not a crook"; 2) if people just had accepted Hillary Clinton's claim that accusations against her husband were just contrived by a vast right-wing conspiracy; and 3) if everyone had gone away when President Clinton wagged his finger at the cameras and denied having sex with Monica Lewinsky?
There are so many factors to consider. The Clinton administration has no credibility. Alan Greenspan is famous for his "Greenspeak," speaking so vaguely that many different interpretations can be drawn. Why should his comments on the gold market be any different? Former Fed Governor Alan Binder was quoted in The Wall Street Journal as saying that the last role of a central bank is to tell the truth to the public.
Did we not get into the Vietnam War over an incident reported by the U.S. government that never happened? What if that had been questioned immediately? How may lives might have been saved?
Yes, maybe the Treasury is not acting with certain bullion banks to hold down the price of gold. But they are not going to get off the hook this easily.
Why did it take so long for the Treasury to begin to respond? Greenspan responded to Senator Lieberman fairly quickly.
I had a long conversation with Frank Veneroso of Veneroso Associates today. Frank knows the gold market better than anyone in the world, especially the supply and demand numbers.
He told me the following:
"It makes no sense whatsover that the gold price rally of early February has been completely rolled back."
These are his reasons:
1. Incomes in the Far and Middle East, where gold use is very high, are soaring. Gold demand in those regions must also be strongly on the rise.
2. Incomes and consumption are generally strong around the world.
3. Exchange rates in Asia, where gold use is high, have appreciated. Because gold demand is price-elastic, this should be helping demand.
4. Since there is little financial distress in the world, there is no distress dumping of scrap gold, such as what plagued the gold market in 1998 when Korea alone dumped 250 tonnes and gold traded at the same price it is now.
5. Some major producers, such as Anglogold and Placer Dome, are not rolling over their forward sales; they are delivering into them, reducing supply hitting the market.
6. Mine supply is flat.
7. The hedge funds are more likely to go long now because of themes of global growth while even the black box traders are not going short as they always used to, when they would pile up numbers like 70,000 short positions. That means all the selling that hit the gold market in past years is not showing up as it did, yet the gold price cannot rally.
8. Bullion banks are cutting back staff, suggesting a cutback in prior large outright positions.
All this is in addition to the very important fact that the European central banks have limited their leasing and selling of gold to 400 tonnes per year. That includes the Dutch, the Swiss, and the British. Veneroso's supply/demand numbers tell us that the deficit of supply over demand may be as high as 2,000 tonnes this year.
It does not take an Einstein to understand the something is very wrong here. The Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee will not stop until we find out what it is.
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