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Gold/Mining/Energy : Consolidated Silver Tusk Mines Ltd.

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To: Wade who wrote (2144)3/28/2000 1:52:00 AM
From: Randy  Read Replies (1) of 2229
 
Here is some speculation on the future value of CKS. Not sure why anyone would sell their shares today for 20 cents or less unless they know something no else does about the future of the company.

The numbers I heard to support a share price of $2.5 are:
$30 MM to $50 MM for the gold over 5 to 6 years. This did not include the silver or Mn and did not include the tailings ponds that are valued at an additional $6MM to $8MM.

If we use a cash flow multiple of 10:

$30MM/5 years/24 MM shares * 10 = $2.5/share.

How quickly it takes the market to realize the potential is the big question. No credibility from the previous management and delays in getting gold production by the new guys require patience galore. I would guesstimate if there is gold production in May the price will hit $1.00 to $1.25 as the market gives them one half the fair value. If production rates match their targets, then the other half will come by the end of the year or sooner depending on the production rates. If the silver and Mn lower the production costs and the price of gold goes up and they exceed the production rates early, the price could hit somewhere between $2.5 and $5.00 per share.
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