Semi Equipment-Sell when they're singing in the streets Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment-Sell when they're singing in the streets

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To: Q. who wrote (45)	3/29/2000 11:11:00 PM
From: Gottfried	Read Replies (1) of 276

D, you said >I would agree that the ratio represented by the red bars is probably one of the best indicators to test for possible sell signals.< Unfortunately it is a lagging signal. To calculate the ratio I need both, semi equip orders and ww semiconductor shipments. The former are published on the 20th of the following month. The latter lag by even more than 20 days, often 6 weeks. So by the time you get the sell signal, you've already lost 30 to 50 % from the price peak. It's not so bad for buying near the bottom, though. If you insist, I'll make a sample chart though placing the ratio bars on the date when they would have been available. [January ratio about March 7th] Just speak. Gottfried PS: BTW, on my price vs SEMI equip order charts, the bars for orders ARE placed on the date SEMI announces them.

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