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Non-Tech : The Critical Investing Workshop

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (11327)4/6/2000 11:53:00 AM
From: TigerPaw  Read Replies (4) of 35685
 
: Margin Calls
I think there are many people think they have to get rich soon before the bubble bursts. There is still plenty of time left in this great economy. There is really no reason to borrow a lot to get great returns. Margin is a usefull tool in certain situations but it should never be a permanant strategy of one's portfolio.
There is a math proof or trick if you like, called the gambler's falacy, that shows how surprisingly quickly you will lose all of your chips if you consistently bet even if you have a 90 or 99% chance of winning. The margined portion of an account is a gamble, because as stocks go up and down, margin never goes down but only grows as the interest payments pile up. Even if you pick winners nearly all the time the margined portion of your account will tend to zero as the market does it's random walk.
TP
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