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Gold/Mining/Energy : Petrokazakhstan Inc.
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To: a_player_2001 who wrote (982)4/7/2000 11:17:00 AM
From: forecaster  Read Replies (1) of 2357
 
I.Q.2000 Forecast (Integrated).

Assuming sales of 8 million barrels and selling price of US$ 16.00, this will be the strongest quarter on HHL.A's record. The financial results will surprise many, despite a necessary charge for the restructuring fee.

(US$ millions)

REVENUES: 128
EXPENSES: 48
-------------
EBITDA: 80

Interest: 7
D&A: 5
Restructuring Fee: 13
Taxes: 20
---------------------
NET INCOME: 35
CASH FLOW: 40

# of Shares: 80 million

NET INCOME/SHARE: US$ 0.44
CASH FLOW/SHARE: US$ 0.50

The rolling 12-months earnings will jump from the current US$ 0.19 to about US$ 0.97. The share price is expected to respond accordingly, possibly doubling to about US$ 6.00. This would correspond to P/E = 6.2.
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