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Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed
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To: Lucretius who wrote (24015)4/7/2000 1:39:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (3) of 42523
 
FWIW in a changing supply situation,
the US10yr/3M0Tbill spread is now
only 8 bps., down from 50bps a month
ago. The Fed monitors this spread since
statistical studies have shown that
when US10 yields < 30MoTbill yields the
economy has historically entered a
recession six months later 100% of the
time.

This time could be different of course.
And while a recession seems highly unlikely
I find it interesting so many professional
traders prefer fixed income over stocks in
their portfolio weightings.
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