April, 2000 Roundtable: Brokerages' Brave New World Who'll win the online finance wars? A panel of experts sorts it out.
At a recent conference hosted by the Securities Industry Association, MONEY managing editor Robert Safian moderated a discussion with four online brokerage authorities (see bios below). Here are excerpts from their comments about the opportunities and threats that the Internet presents to financial services companies.
Q: Which firm is best handling the balance between waiting to see how the online market develops and racing to stay up with the most innovative player of the moment?
Burnham: If you look at the top 10 online brokers, five are brand-new Internet brokers....For me E*trade epitomizes those five; it has aggressively gone out and staked its claim. You can question whether their tactics are sound or financially responsible, but I think they have become an incredibly important force.
Swerdlow: I think that the traditional players such as Schwab and Merrill are incredibly well-positioned. Merrill was very slow out of the gate but is moving a lot more quickly now.
Marks: I would say all and none are doing things well. One thing that all online brokers deserve credit for is how well they've handled the surge in volume over the last three or four months....[But] we don't see the most basic product, online bill payment, which should be the linchpin financial relationship. To me that's inexcusable.
Gomez: The three firms that have really distinguished themselves are E*trade, DLJ Direct and Schwab. Schwab...attacked the new market without stopping to think about whether this would be a threat to its existing business. As a result, they devoted all the resources required to get to the top of the heap.
Q: To what extent should the business model be about generating transactions and to what extent about gathering assets?
Swerdlow: It's all about asset gathering. It is impossible to expect that the online consumer today will be the online consumer in the future. We project that occasional traders, people who trade on average less than 10 times per year, are going to be much more the norm, about two-thirds of all traders in 2003.
Burnham: Catering to active traders is a great business. They are wildly profitable. A firm like Schwab talks about asset-gathering, yet they have to cut prices to hold onto their active traders....Going blindly after asset growth doesn't generate revenues - you have to find asset productivity....At the big firms that have gone after asset growth, Schwab and Fidelity, asset productivity is very low.
Q: So the folks at E*trade are going after a different consumer than the folks at Merrill?
Burnham: Sometimes it's the same person...a fairly conservative...investor, [who makes] four to eight trades a year, who [takes] a little bit of money and is trading it actively.
Q: Why is bill payment taking so long to get in place?
Marks: The biggest problem...is that it's no fun. Online trading is fun. You can make money. It's great. People enjoy it....Bill payment takes something you hate doing and makes it a little less painful, and that's a tough sale. |