SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: flatsville who wrote (24124)4/10/2000 8:11:00 AM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) of 42523
 
This morning the 10Yr/3Mo yield is negative
with the former at 5.83 and the latter at 5.88.
This is a highly unusual occurrence generally
fostered by Fed tightening. In the past, such
an inverted curve has forecasted recessions with
tremendous accuracy.

One has to be cognizant, however, of today's supply
situation and recent flight by institutions into
US governments. I find it hard to believe the strong
real growth we've experienced will brake so hard that
two quarters of no growth will emerge next fall.

Nonetheless, caution with stock holdings is warranted.
There are a lot of traders who apparently prefer less-
than-6% note yields to higher current returns on cash or
higher expected returns on stock.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext