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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: TimF who wrote (104828)4/13/2000 12:10:00 AM
From: Dan3  Read Replies (3) of 1575761
 
Re: But I wan't to see the 60's again....after a 3 for 1 split...

Ah, another pessimist. Well, the conservative investor is rarely disappointed. But your scenario only leads to $180 per share.

Right now the market values the business that AMD and Intel are in at $400 to $450 Billion. Intel has some off track business that AMD doesn't, but that business generally loses money, so all that is important are the markets that it shares with AMD (CPUs, flash, and networking chips).

AMD was near death recently and the street had pretty much written it off so its price had become very low. With AMD now clearly competitive and successful, holding a 16% market share that is growing steadily, its valuation should fairly rapidly move to between 10% and 25% of Intel's. Resulting in a share price of $300 to $750.

It's been a good day :-)

Dan
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