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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Adam Weiner who wrote (46602)	4/16/2000 12:23:00 PM
From: Michael Watkins	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Adam - I agree with you that tech feeding off of tech has been a significant part of the technology demand cycle, and thus any impact on venture capital, capitalization of startups, etc could have a lasting effect on the growth prospects of many tech companies. But we will still all need toilet paper. Another thought I have is on wage costs, over the past few weeks I detect a sea change in employer/employee negotiations. A couple of head hunters I know personally report that options packages are not carrying the weight they once did, and that was before events of last week. I also noted an article along this theme in my weekend paper. Imagine the increase in real wage growth if employees increasingly demand real cash over "cheap paper". Just some rambling.

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