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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: Mr. BSL who wrote (13283)4/16/2000 8:22:00 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
I was "amused" that Bill F. was declaring victory for "the
call" so I did some calculations. I still see it as
"wait and see" as we have been up a bit over 5% since the
call has been made but not long enough to matter but
still are a LONG way from down 20%. Anyway, here are the
numbers:

This is the data taken from the January 8th issue of
Marketimer that was mailed on January 7th. In the past,
Bob has said it is what is in the letter, not stock
picks said on the radio that matter so I use his published
numbers rather than try to guess when each person got
their letter. I have heard the BJ Group went to 40:60
on 1/5/00 which matches this date.

The data Bob used in the newsletter for the DJIA and
S&P500 is for 1/5/00. He does not list it but the NASDAQ
was at 3,877.54 on that day.

Data from January 8, 2000 Marketimer

1/5/00 4/14/00 Change
DJIA 11,122.65 10,305.77 -7.3%
S&P500 1,402.13 1,357.31 -3.2%
NASDAQ 3,877.54 3,321.29 -14.3%
VTSMX 31.69 30.00 -5.3%

Pretty much "trading range" for the total market where we
have been up over 5% from the call and down over 5% now
from the call to cash.

Interesting how 10% corrections are considered noise and
yet Bill Flannagan is raving about how "right" Bob was on
his call. I thought we had to go to 20% down from the
sell point (and back in)?

Oh well, good radio.

Granted, it will be different for everyone. I am 80:20
and up just a tiny for the year. Others are heavy into
risky stocks and are feeling mucho pain.

regards
Kirk out
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