Mutual funds see the other shoe drop
By SUSAN HEINRICH Mutual Funds Reporter The Financial Post It was d‚ja vu yesterday for those mutual fund managers who decided to gamble and were still holding Bre-X Minerals Ltd. when the bottom fell out from under them a second time.
With trading halted on Bre-X yesterday after the devastating news that the Busang gold deposit is a fraud, managers were forced to write the stock down to zero to set end-of-day unit values of their funds. The first writedown occurred on March 26, when managers who held the stock dropped its value to about $1 from the $13.50 it had been halted at the previous day, after the size of the deposit first came into question. It did not hurt as much this time around as managers had reduced their positions significantly after the first writedown. Some, including John Embry, manager of the Royal Precious Metals Fund, got out completely after being burned the first time. Embry said he got out because he couldn't find anyone who could give him a reasonable valuation for the company. Those who stayed in held positions below 0.5% in most cases, a far cry from the 8% one precious metals fund held when the stock price was first written down in March. No one has said they bought more after that. Some decided to hang on to small positions, choosing to treat the stock like an option, said one manager who still held Bre-X but didn't want to be named. Another manager who asked not to be named said he was considering his small position like a lottery ticket. The stock had already fallen so far that there wasn't much left to lose. There remained only a possible gain if the outcome had been different.
The AGF Canadian Equity Fund held 0.2% of its assets in Bre-X as of the end of March, said portfolio manager Laura Wallace of AGF Management Ltd. She decided to hold on to the small amount because it would not have much of an effect if the worst-case scenario happened. She said it was hard to believe fraud of this magnitude could be pulled off. "With 50,000 assay samples and major companies expressing unequivocal interest, this was not a one-hole wonder," Wallace noted. Fund managers rely on the fact that information they are given is correct, said Wayne Deans, a partner and portfolio manager of Vancouver-based Deans Knight Capital Management Ltd. Deans maintained small positions in Bre-X in the three funds he manages. "If there's criminal intent, it's difficult [for fund managers] to detect," he said. "We relied on very credible organizations throughout the process. Like when we read audited financial statements, we assume the numbers are correct." It was not only resource and precious metals funds that have been caught holding the bag. General equity and supposedly lower-risk balanced funds also had exposure to Bre-X. The Phillips, Hager & North Balanced Fund was among those. This was surprising, given that Phillips, Hager & North Investment Management Ltd. is known as a conservative investor. A partner at the firm said the exposure never exceeded 0.75%. In hindsight, Bre-X was a high-risk investment. But many fund managers bought into the fairy tale of one of the largest gold finds in history buried in the jungles of Borneo. The opposite table shows that 14 of the 20 largest mutual fund companies, by assets, held Bre-X in their funds in the last year. Only six passed on the opportunity and escaped unscathed. Templeton Management Ltd. was among those. "We just don't buy things where it is difficult to ascertain the value," said senior vice-president and portfolio manager Norm Boersma. "This is one of those cases where you're living drill hole to drill hole. The speculation tends to run ahead of the results."
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