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Non-Tech : The Critical Investing Workshop

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To: Jeffry K. Smith who wrote (15415)4/20/2000 11:41:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 35685
 
some TA on EMLX Emulex: bouncing its bruised touchas

bounced hard off 36-37 last Monday, now 50+/-
got a big gap from 50-75 which you might capitalize on
if some updays, the stock price might jump suddenly upward into this gap

relative strength hit the oversold mark of 30 on Monday
money flow really has not yet improved this week
despite the improvement this week, its stochastic indicator is still slumpy, meaning it aint closing near daily highs

then you have Moving Avgs, and I like to look at 30day
the 30MA is diving down, now at 115
the 18MA, 30MA, and 50MA all look SCAREY
you aint gonna have ANY sustained rally until these stabilize
you WILL get a reflex rally if you are lucky very soon
but such a rally is likely to get snuffed by either 18MA (now 88) and for sure by 30MA (now 115)

so if you are looking for a quick profit, allow a rally to run up to either 18MA or 30MA
a few days from now, both MA's will be even lower

dont know much about the stock and its business
I recall last month, many brokerages raised maintenance reqmts on it to 100% for some reason
you are fishing for dead cat's here, Jeff
/ Jim
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