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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures

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To: robert b furman who wrote (41127)	4/24/2000 1:46:00 PM
From: Tom Trader	Read Replies (2) of 44573

Hi Bob -- thanks for your analysis and the kind words! I agree with much of what you say about how things have evolved and the likely outlook from this point. What appears to be missing in this sell-off that we have had is real fear -- we have seen a lot of pain and forced selling from margin calls but the kind of capitulation that one would associate with a solid bottom seems to be be lacking. If the final top doesn't include the smallcap dogs - then look for the first signs of sector rotation ( false starts are ok ) and another round of the bull will become popular To what extent was the speculative excesses that we saw with stocks going up dramatically each day the type of blow-off you are looking for -- admittedly, it did not extend to all stocks but the frothiness was extraordinary, don't you think?

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