MDA - Market Direction Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 679.68

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Nov 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (48180)	4/26/2000 12:48:00 PM
From: eichler	Read Replies (1) of 99985

greetings LG Have been lurking (& learning) on this thread for a while now. Thanks for starting it. I also checked out the monumental ape & web site as my curiosity usually leads me towards the search for truth and knowledge. Although I found it interesting, it is far from conclusive and appears to be derived from certain assumptions and relationships some of which include stock e/p, treasury yields, US Dollar moves, etc. One thing I learned long ago (trading commodities) is that just because a relationship between two different markets has worked in the past, whether one market tracks another or reacts oppositely, is no guarantee these relationships will continue. I believe this concept is called divergence. What worked once may not necessarily continue. That things are always changing in the only guarantee. As I mentioned, the monkey appears interesting, but I am suspicious of a model that makes so many assumptions in an ever changing investment environment. Also, I (as you have too) find it disturbing that this "tool" was originally presented in an unbiased, unattached manner <<i have nothing to do with this site>> only to discover later it's the poster's own site. What I really don't understand is the indicated subterfuge. It calls into question the motives and objectivity involved. I also find it rather humorous that the day after the prognostication of a large short term market decline, the markets RALLY. he he he (whether the rally sticks is another matter). Still, I do appreciate this thread and ALL the contributions made by all. Keep up the good work. Sincerely Eichler

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