MDA - Market Direction Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (48513)	4/28/2000 12:53:00 PM
From: James Strauss	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Heinz: Here are some productivity growth numbers: 146.142.4.24 In 1999 non farm productivity was growing faster than unit labor cost growth: A look at the 2000 numbers, when available, should give us a clear picture of the current relationship... There is no doubt that the ECI is rising fast: csf.colorado.edu But also note that previous parabolic type ascensions have led to a leveling off and even declining rate of ECI... So, my guess is that we may be seeing a peak at this time unless the long term trendline is broken to the upside... In that case we could be looking for an ultimate test in the 7.00% range... In that scenario we could see a heavier hand by the FED... Jim

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