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Non-Tech : Amati investors
AMTX 1.490-0.7%Dec 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: Eric Goethals who wrote (16854)5/7/1997 6:46:00 AM
From: Bob Smith   of 31386
 
[Yesterday]

To those who read the board faithfully. We knew yesterday was going
to produce GTE extended trial results - no vendor selection. Pat shared this with the group last Thursday. Enough of the "GTE
did not select Amati or no deployment commitment".

Sure I wish GTE was more forthcoming. But do you blame them for not
"telegraphing" the next move to the competition. It's coming.

Yesterday CAN ONLY BE interpreted (long term) as a huge victory for
ADSL deployment. I would rather have the purchase of BBN and a
commitment to a National Data Service (including ADSL) then a
misc. GTE modem order to Amati.

I know you short term traders are disappointed with no immediate
"stock rally". But, long term this is a very positive revenue
impact to Amati..providing the trials continue on a positive note.

Now for other information we do know. There are orders that you
can count on for '98 revenue. Add up the Siemens, HKT & Sumitomo
revenue and then calculate a stock price. My calcualtion says about
$40-$50M on 200k-400K in modems. Now what does that do to the
stock price?

There is another "hidden benefit" from yesterday's GTE alliance...
and that is Cisco. We have been told (by pat) that Cisco and Amati
have had "talks". It's another opportunity for Cisco to
evaluate Amati technonology at the very least....and remember they
only acquire Silicon Valley based companies.

So enough of the short term "negativism". ADSL is having a "coming
out party at Interop" and Amati will share in the spoils.

Regards,

Bob
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