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Technology Stocks : Corel Corp.
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To: Leo Mitkievicz who wrote (8923)4/30/2000 5:21:00 PM
From: BrownBag   of 9798
 
I don't see Linux getting big numbers on the desktop for some time yet. Although there is a real OS underneath, the desktop experience for a standard consumer just seems like a Windows 3.1 level experience under Linux. The Windows interface has come a long ways since then. You could make the same example using the original 64K Mac interface compared to the current one. It generally works. It has some nice stuff, but it just doesn't seem ready for prime time yet. I suspect that will change over time, but Windows and Mac have both had a 10 year head start.

There is also the issue of the compelling application on Linux. It just doesn't exist for the consumer. For me that application was Quicken. I was happy with DOS for consumer applications like WP. However, the graphing capabilities of Quicken for Windows were compelling enough for me to switch to using Windows.

Where is the compelling consumer application for Linux? It's just not there yet. There are compelling server applications for Linux, and that's where it is generally being used. It is compelling for Unix developers, because it provides a way to duplicate work systems at home for a reasonable price.

I'm sure MSoft's major worry about Linux and other open source developments is that they will migrate into the workplace and start displacing NT boxes. I doubt they are really worried about losing the desktop at the moment.
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