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Technology Stocks : Echelon Corporation (ELON)
ELON 21.88+10.1%Oct 6 5:00 PM EST

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To: spiral3 who wrote (1972)4/30/2000 8:44:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) of 3076
 
Spiral, OOPS, I meant COGS at 42%, that makes gross margins still at around 58% (anyone knows if that contains any royalties?), and taking "normal" R&D plus SG&A at 18% brings us to pretax profits of 40% and after tax profits at 26% of sales (I hope you would agree that these figures are "best case", since right now both R&D and SG&A are a much greater percentage of sales and could not support even a $100 MM annual sales rate). So my point to Larry should be not 5 times fair value but somewhat less than 4 times.

I believe the rest of my argument (that the market is not there to justify a valuation north of a billion bucks) still holds.

Zeev
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