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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 694.04

-0.2%

Jan 29 4:00 PM EST

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To: Casaubon who wrote (48748)	4/30/2000 10:25:00 PM
From: StockOperator	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Casaubon, Perhaps I should have phrased it a little better. We have a monthly reversal on the TYX which when coupled with the most recent economic numbers and the fact that the FED is most likely going to continue to raise rates until a more obvious sign of slowing in the economy. This reversal may mean the divergences in instruments like the 30yr and the actions by the FED may be coming to an end. Because of that any interest rate sensitive instruments (bonds, banks, etc.,) have to be played on the side of the possibility of rising rates overall. I take that back - Any stock picking strategy going forward, whether you like tech or value may have to be reconsidered if this reversal in rates is real. The question we need to ask is which sector will flourish in this kind of environment. Granted, at this point all we have is a reversal in an overall downtrend. What happens from here I believe will be important to watch. Just another piece of the puzzle.

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