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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: ItsAllCyclical who wrote (65556)5/1/2000 5:25:00 PM
From: dfloydr  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
Does anyone else get the feeling that the fed is pushing on a string?

They have jacked rates, what, three, or is it four times, with no apparent effect on economic activity. So if four hikes do nothing, why not do one a day for a month ... or perhaps none at all?

The pundits like to yammer and panic about the Fed raising rates. My concern is fast becoming one that comes from the evident lack of any effect they seem to be having. A question arises as to whether they are doing the right thing at all. Maybe they need to learn from the Hypocratic oath: first do no harm!

At this rate they won't have any effect until they get rates high enough to crash the system. As we move up the rate scale, margins get a bit thinner all around and so companies are cranking harder to stay ahead. As margins thin down, the danger of a crash escalates. When they finally get to the point where someone is forced to exit the game, the snowball effect will hit. Related businesses will not have the fat they need to take the hit... domino theory 2000.

To me, rate hikes do not seem to be the way to a soft landing.
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