MDA - Market Direction Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 660.08

-0.8%

Nov 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: bobby beara who wrote (49074)	5/2/2000 10:44:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (3) of 99985

Bobby, i agree we have a cyclical inflation episode to go through...finally the enormous money creation by the Fed is beginning to affect the supply/demand picture sufficiently to have inflation spill over from assets into goods, services and wages, in spite of the ever larger looming trade deficit. this is probably due to the cyclical upswing in foreign economies exerting demand pull on everything...the CRB speaks for itself. i am not so sure however that the secular deflationary trend is really over...i think it has merely been postponed. eventually, the mountain of private sector debt awaits liquidation under unfavorable circumstances - at which point i'd expect the secular trend to re-assert itself. in the meantime, get ready for more inflation scares... regards, hb

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