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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: kash johal who wrote (109163)5/3/2000 2:11:00 AM
From: Joe NYC  Read Replies (3) of 1579260
 
Kash

I agree the hot rail miscue is pretty disastrous.

Although it would be nice to have a 4 to 8 way chipset, theoretically speaking, practically, this whip would not go anywhere. I think it would be a little over-optimistic that Athlon, Thunderbird or Mustang will ever go to servers with over 2 processors.

There are about 2 or 3 market segments that AMD has to penetrate to gain enough credibility to go into > 2 way servers: Mainstream business computers, High end / workstations, with potentially dual processor, and low end / mainstream servers (single or dual).

Right now, AMD has pretty much 0 market share in these segments. It will take time to penetrate these segments. At this point, if you told me that in May 2001 AMD will have 30% of single or dual servers, I would consider it a huge success.

In my opinion, Hot Rail's chance of making money on Athlon class chipsets in > 2 way configuration is pretty much zero.

Where the opportunity will be is with Sledgehammer, which will be completely new core, requiring new chipsets. This is where AMD has a chance. This is why I would be curious if AMD has any team working on a > 2 way chipset internally.

Joe
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