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Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (18010)5/6/2000 12:54:00 AM
From: B TateRead Replies (5) of 118717
 
Dale and Dave
Did some DD on ALSC as we discussed last evening on the site FWIW the following is my take. Don't forget I HATE financial statements and SEC filings. ;-)

ALSC appears to be a failure as an operating SRAM/DRAM company. Consistent losses year after year, losses getting smaller and they might be able to go on the plus side this year. As far as FLASH goes there is no indication they have a viable product. No mention of revenues generated in the discussion of income where DRAM and SRAM are covered well.

There also is a list of "Legal" activities (some of which are absolutely normal for a memory company - Dumping etc. etc.) There is one however that gives me pause at the moment and that is a couple of pat. infringement suits by AMD in the flash area that could/would stall any meaningful product revenues for some time while its being decided by the courts.

While the financial side looks good overall, no LT debt, there are a couple of ratios that just seem odd.

The real P/E is 122 (after backing out onetime events)
The P/S is 8+

**** EDIT****
There is one other thing I saw in the financials that always rings the warning bells and that is 'related party' recievables and payables.
**********

R&D spending seems to be OK, they don't have huge foundry equipment costs as they use 3rd parties so the disparity would seem to be in tiny margins or SG&A is way out of whack. As stated above I hate reading the statements and am not good at it.

With all that said, it just might be a hell of an investment co. Seems all the profits are generated by investments. Present or past positions in companies such as Broadcom, UMC, United Semi, United Silicon, Chartered Semiconductor and a host of "incubator" style investments in Communications and internet start-ups.

An interesting company that I will watch going forward. The last quarterly is full of interesting tidbits. Thanks for bringing it to my attention. If we have any experts on this one hanging out here I would welcome comments.

bt
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