Thoroughbred Horse Racing Message Board

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Pastimes : Thoroughbred Horse Racing

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To: Freedom Fighter who wrote ()	5/6/2000 8:59:00 AM
From: Freedom Fighter	Read Replies (1) of 1269

Kentuky Derby Fusaichi Pegasus - I think he deserves to be the favorite and will be. I'm very impressed so far. It's hard to find anything wrong with him, but if you want me to, he's only had 5 races and the Derby is usually won by a more seasoned horse. 5-2 The Deputy - Another high quality horse. Two insights into the San Felipe where he met F.P. He was spotting F.P. 6 pounds that day (if that means anything). F.P. beat him a lot easier than the 3/4 length margin indicates. This one was all out and F.P. was coasting. 4-1 Captain Steve - Had a mediocre spring campaign due to training setbacks. Seems to be moving forward and had some terrific workouts coming in. Notice the huge win at Churhill. I thought the pace in the Santa Anita Derby was slow and compromised his chances a bit. I'm rating above some of the others that have shown more this year because I'm expecting an improved effort. 6-1. War Chant - Very talented. Ran a little better than I expected in the SA Derby. Part of me still doesn't like this horse despite his obvious ability. I didn't like his San Rafael because the whole field was getting to him late. He also doesn't have much seasoning and may race close to what should be a very rapid pace (as opposed to the SA Derby). I'm taking a stand againt him. Wouldn't be surprised too much if he ran well - just not with my money. He'll be better later in the year. 10-1 Anees - Slow pace compromised his chances in the SA Derby. He made a huge move and hung. Should get a rapid pace to run at in this one. Needs the trip, but has the ability if he fires his best. That's the question mark. 12-1 Field - Wheelaway and Deputy Warlock both closed on the extreme outside on a speed favoring golden rail day in the Blue Grass. Should get a hot pace and either may suck up a big piece. Better than they look based on last race. 15-1 I'm taking a stronger stand against Hal's Hope, Trippi, More than Ready, Graeme Hall, and High Yield. I think they compromise each others chances because they will either be on or close to a fast pace. Most have stamina question marks too. All the rest haven't shown enough yet and will either have to improve sharply or get real lucky. The odds above are my general view of the horse's chances. I would need some margin of safety above those odds to participate. The show pools are often out of line for this race. Fusaichi Pegasus may be 9-5 in the win betting and pay as much as even money to show. Something to think about. Wayne

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