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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 95.57+0.7%Nov 28 9:30 AM EST

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To: Dave B who wrote (41563)5/7/2000 11:50:00 PM
From: Ali Chen  Read Replies (1) of 93625
 
Dave, you are entrapping yourself with this.

Look:
<Seriously, these two gentlemen have much more visibility into..they're basing their estimates on information that is not available to us (even Carl!).>

Ask yourself at what level they have this
"visibility"? At executive and marketing level.
These guys think wishfully, you should know this
in first place. These guys have very little
understanding about inherent caveats of the
underlying technology. The whole thing with
those high-speed signals is totally new to them,
they cannot have any practical experience with
the new technology by definition and cannot exercise
good judgement about those technical issues.
Their wishful thinking and plans may be totally
unrealistic, and that is happening. As several
people on this thread including Carl and myself
have shown, none of the promises of RAMBUS
"technology" withstand the reality check. None.
The Rambus "technology" brings no benefits but
only complications at every production step.
It is my belief that the industry cannot be
built on unsound technology no matter how
wishful the thinking of Rambus and Intel
leaders is. This is the only point I would
like to make.

BTW, about cost reductions: since the Rambus
"technology" associates extra cost at EVERY
STEP OF PRODUCTION and DEPLOYMENT as compared
to SDRAM/DDRAM, it will always cost SIGNIFICANTLY
more. No matter which measures are undertaken.
This is a very simple concept, would you agree?

- Ali
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