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Non-Tech : The Critical Investing Workshop

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To: Voltaire who wrote (18238)5/11/2000 5:03:00 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 35685
 
we are seeing enough of the frightened view to satisfy my loose requirements that a bottom is at hand

the pessimism is widespread
the expectation of bear market is widespread
the expectation of several crippling rate hikes is widespread
the perception of more bottom testing is prevalent
most pundits are bearish

all the necessary ingredients for a bottom
next comes the grinding long period of the cat whacking the mouse around, up then down, up then down, up then down

when was the last time everybody correctly called a top or bottom?

nice slower retail news today
maybe a negative PPI tomorrow
maybe a negative CPI next tuesday

we may be seeing the beginning of slower economic news
the economists have gotten almost nothing right this year in their analysis and estimations

/ Jim
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