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Technology Stocks : CDMA, Globalstar versus Iridium, Inmarsat, etc.

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To: T. Pascal who wrote (90)5/9/1997 1:21:00 AM
From: Maurice Winn   of 381
 
Pacal, Motorola has certainly had a good record since 1989 though flat like Qualcomm the past 3 years [in terms of share price].

The Globalstar plan is dual mode handsets so that people will use terrestrial cellular systems in urban areas and they'll use Globalstar otherwise. The wholesale price will be about $0.45 per minute, so retail I guess will be $1 or so. Is that really a giggle? Iridium [Motorola] is planning about $3 per minute - and Motorola is planning a CDMA system to follow the Iridium system.

Globalstar is 1200 km altitude and the phones are cellphone sized. There will be 4 in view most of the time. Why don't you think it will work? Just that it looks hard or something in particular. CDMA was difficult to get working in a mobile environment, but it is now happening and people are pleased with it and handsets are selling by the million. GPS sounds a doddle compared with making CDMA voice work!!

The signal should penetrate a tree reasonably. Or a person could move away from the tree perhaps?

Satellite systems will be more expensive, but there is a niche for them. 4 million subscribers or so is a decent niche though.

Maurice
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