5/12----------------NEW INVESTORS---------------------
COII IS UP ABOUT 900% IN THE PAST YEAR. NOW IT HAS SETTLED INTO A TRADING RANGE BETWEEN 8-9. THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY. EACH WEEK THAT PASSES BRINGS US CLOSER TO NEWS THAT WILL CAUSE US TO ROCKET HIGHER.
MY GUESS ABOUT THE PIPELINE: module 2 was sent back to coii for "minor" revisions. modules 3 is in! 4 going in very soon, 1 month? foreign sales coming right up nasdaq approval within 1-2 months these are just my guesses--i could be right or wrong --------------------------------------------------------- COII (CTI) is the leader in the emerging field of thermal medical imaging.
They will be first to market with an alternative to mammography, with at least a one year head start on all competitors. Orders from foreign countries are already being taken(we assume)and they have plenty of funding for a fast and furious national roll-out.
CTI will help stop the breast cancer epidemic. Then, they will become major players in the diagnosis of back/neck pain(work injuries), followed by many other potential areas such as dermatology, cardioloigy, etc.
Their breast cancer detection system should be approved by summer/fall 2000.
Use these links to help you in your study of COII.
1. Go to the Silicon Investor "research" thread and read the last 5-15 posts, at least.
Subject 21613
2. Go to the company website and study it--especially the thermal images of cancer vs. normal tissue..see news release from Feb. for images:
cti-net.com
3. Go to the yahoo COII "profile"
biz.yahoo.com
4. CTI may eventually replace mammography as the screening of choice for breast cancer--then it could be back/neck pain, melanoma, etc.
CTI's EARNING POTENTIAL (CONSERVATIVE)?
Let's assume that 1-2 years after approval: 300 imaging centers X 200,000-400,000 net/system = 60M net
note: this is conservative. it is possible they could make FAR more per system. think about it: they can process 4-6 ladies per hour. each breast will NET around $30, with most women having both done for total of $60 per exam.
$50 x 4/hour x 8 hr. day x 6 days/week x 50 weeks/yr. = NET of 480,000 per year.
Then assume they sell sell 200 systems x 250,000 net = 50M NET ONE YEAR AFTER APPROVAL = $110M ASSUME 110M SHARES OUTSTANDING GIVES US $1/SHARE
So if we assume that they have a p/e of 50 during the first couple years (this would drop to 25 after 1-2 years) it would give a stock price of:
$50 with a 50 p/e
My one year price projection after approval is $50 My 2-3 year projection is $100 My 5+ year prjection is $200
These are all back of the envelope estimates and have no guidance from the company. I will update these estimates as time progresses. If anyone has any suggestions, please let me know. Please realize that all of these computations are very conservative.
CTI will have a great run for at least 2-3 years. The long term investor wins with CTI. |