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Technology Stocks : eBay - Superb Internet Business Model

EBAY 85.18

+1.6%

Nov 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: wjmx who wrote (6513)	5/13/2000 1:20:00 AM
From: Doug Fowler	Read Replies (2) of 7772

Well, in my tracking of eBay auction counts and company revenues over the last 18 months, there has been almost a 100 percent correlation between auction counts and revenues. Sure, if eBay could convert the 4 million auctions to houses and cars, then her statement would make sense. But, I have seen no evidence that the introduction of big ticket items has had even a marginal impact on the average fee eBay gets per auction. (There are a lot of houses listed on eBay, but I have yet to see houses sell with any frequency.) And, until such time as I see evidence, I will assume that slowing growth in auction counts means slowing growth in revenues. And the current quarter is shaping up to be a BIG disappointment. Anybody want to place a wager???

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