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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 94.82+2.7%Nov 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: Dave B who wrote (42176)5/13/2000 7:28:00 PM
From: gnuman  Read Replies (2) of 93625
 
Dave, re: your data
You posted:
This year you can expect

Desktop-----13.4 M
Enterprise--.7 M
Laptop------3.4M

Grand Total--17.5 M units


Interesting data.

Those desktop numbers indicate my desktop ASP estimate is way too high. If desktops are 52% of system revenue as Dell stated, (~ $3.2 Billion for desktops last quarter), desktop ASP would have to be closer to $1000 than the $2000 I used. I'm having a hard time with that one, considering it's Dell we're talking about. (Though I suspect this indicates there are volume purchasers getting great prices).

If Dell sell's ~$30B systems this year, (good growth), with desktops ~50%, or $15B, I get an ASP of ~$1100 using that forecast.
Need to get them RIMM prices down.

Hard to WAG without all the data. <g>
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