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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 672.07-1.7%Nov 13 4:00 PM EST
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To: John Madarasz who wrote (50859)5/15/2000 11:05:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
thanks for that article:

So, this summer, we are likely to see the combination of:

1. an aggressively raising Fed
2. inflation red flags
3. a slowing economy

I'm only 30% cash. Is that enough?

I'm beginning to think that the market may reach its nadir for the year, in the time between the May and June Fed meetings. After tomorrow, no one is going to be convinced yet that the Fed is through. But after the June meeting, especially if they raise by another 1/2%, and the economy looks to be definitely slowing enough to stuff the inflation genie back in its bottle, then the worst may be behind us. And all the scared money on the sidelines (like mine) may flow back into stocks.

Of course, if the economy keeps roaring ahead, and the inflation genie looks like she wants to stay with us for an extended visit, then the market will keep sliding.
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