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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 687.57+0.7%Dec 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: Les H who wrote (50884)5/16/2000 10:02:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Interesting 4 months statistics - Inflation greater than for all of 1999!

During the first four months of 2000, the CPI-U rose at a 4.3 percent
seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). This compares with an increase of
2.7 percent for all of 1999. The index for energy, which turned up
sharply in 1999--advancing 13.4 percent--accelerated further in the first
four months of 2000, increasing at a 28.2 percent SAAR. Food costs, which
rose 1.9 percent in all of 1999, have increased at a 1.5 percent SAAR thus
far in 2000. Excluding food and energy, the CPI-U has advanced at a 2.9
percent rate thus far in 2000, compared with a 1.9 percent rise for all of
1999. Acceleration in the indexes for shelter, for household furnishing
and operations, for medical care, and for tobacco and smoking products
have contributed to the larger rate of advance thus far this year.


and some more magic to add to the NO INFLATION statement

A hedonic model decomposes the price of a consumer product into
implicit prices for each of its important features and components, thereby
providing an estimate of the value of each feature and component. We plan
to extend this method to additional items in the CPI. As we do so, we
will give CPI users notice at least three months before the first use of
hedonic quality adjustment for each additional item and will have detailed
papers on the models to be employed available by the time of first use.
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