Waiting for the big Kahuna Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: William H Huebl who wrote ()	5/17/2000 2:36:00 AM
From: Gary105	Read Replies (1) of 94695

I'd like to get discussion focused on longer term (say over the course of the next year). My take is the following: 1. S&P currently selling at 25x this years earnings 2. Interest rates will continue to rise. 3. Next years earnings growth rate will be considerably below this years. 4. Traditional market valuation is about 15x earnings 5. Year after presidential election is traditionally worst for the market 6. About to enter summer when corrections traditionally begin 7. Oil prices on the rise again - will show up in next months ppi 8. Reasonable returns/zero risk on cash Conclusion: Potential for significant market drop over the next year. Time to raise cash. Comments welcome.

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