Market Direction Predictions and BS guesses Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Direction Predictions and BS guesses

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To: SBHX who wrote (59)	5/18/2000 10:18:00 AM
From: the Chief	Read Replies (1) of 234

If you really want to figure out why the Tech sector is so bearish, look at two aspects : IPO lockups and employee stock options. #1. I'm starting to see a pattern of IPO lockups that releases shares MUCH bigger than initial float, in some cases taking over 100X (even 200X) of avg daily vol. #2. If you look closely, you'll also find MANY tech companies with IPO < 3 yrs with generous employee stock options. Perhaps even some older companies who have to match these stock options to retain valuable employees I think that is exactly why I find failing with the "other thread". Were we in a "bear market" when Oil was $10.00 a barrel? Why didn't we all bail out "oil was bearish"??? So why, why does the "other thread" believe people will push this market into a bear because of of couple of Tulips called Inuts? Lets deal with that question first. the Chief

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