Bill,
I've visited that portion of the site at least 10 times before scrutinizing the report. I'd expect similar behavior from most people. This drops the true number to about 500, of those 500, maybe 20 % actually read it through completion, yielding about 100 people.
Its been my experience that 99.99% of the people out there don't do due diligence. They think they do of course, they go to web sites, get on some chat groups, read some articles, but most fail to take the next steps.
Anyway, I've already established in my mind that IDCC will prevail. The next question is "How much."
We know its not 100 mil, because they rejected that, we know its not 3 bil because we're not at the end stage of the trial where treble damages would be issued.
I'd say the 60% probablistic range is 400 mil to 700 mil, with 650 mil being most likely. As a result of the one time infusion that puts FV in range of $40 - $60, independant of 3G.
Just my opinion. |