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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (51240)	5/19/2000 6:02:00 PM
From: Ben Wa	Read Replies (2) of 99985

regarding the labor market, Greenspan and other economists have forgotten an important factor - changing demographics. For example, second and third generation americans have fewer kids. Young people create bodies that apply for jobs and the more there are of them, the less the wage pressures. Having fewer kids is a long term positive, in that it is disinflationary and puts less strain on natural resources and is the single most important factor in keeping the earth from being trashed. Japan's demographics are where the US will be (absent immigration) in 25 years. Families have few children, BUT in addition to a strain on the labor force, the bigger impact is a decline in the demand for products/svcs by younger people, and so the economy slows. (leaving out the metrics of antiquated Japanese industrial/fiscal policies) So, the Fed Reserve by changing interest rates will have NO effect on the birthrate of folks in the US, unless the economy gets so bleak that people have fewer kids because they realize they won't have the $ to feed them.

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