<<Doubling by the end of June!?>>
Riker, seems to me you can safely remove the ? mark from the above quote. For the following reasons, many of which have already been stated:
1) U.S.$3.82. That's yesterday's close for NG. $4 is ex- pected, MINAMALLY. At the low end of the cycle Ultra was getting about half the current price. A recent chart shows gas in storage to be only 33% of capacity.
2) EA (Environmental Assessment) for Jonah II already has BLM approval and will be released any day now. It gives Ultra 22 more drill sites and additional reserves of 50 BCF, according to Ultra's own figures. And remember,each SUCCESSFUL well at Jonah is estimated to have 6 BCF over its productive life. Up- side, therefore, is much higher.
4) The EIS (Environmental Impact Statement) was due for re- lease in April but the comment period was extended a few times. Approval will happen by mid-June (IMO). That will make possible 700+ wells on the Anticline. Ultra will have over 100 locations, enough sites for years. PLUS, once approved, no more Fed/State stalls!
5) The Anticline wells will be drilled using 3-D seismic maps to locate the best sites.
6) AEC (Alberta Energy), among the top five gas producers in North America, bought McMurry's Green River Basin holdings, and brings giant credibility to the region.
7) Ultra has strong partners in Questar and Anschutz for wells to be drilled on a small part of the Anticline.
8) Perhaps most important: Ultra has gotten its act to- gether under Michael Watford, has a strong line-of- credit with Bank One, $40,000,00 with $18,000,000 available this drilling season. So, for the first time Ultra will not be dependent on weak juniors and inad- equate funding.
And maybe all the above will lead to a revival of this thread! Hope so! Best to all who have held on!
Gerry Atwater |