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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 680.59+0.6%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (51403)5/20/2000 6:41:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
But Haim, if all the excess liquidity will go into those CD's at 6% to 7%, I assure you that these rates will collapse. Redeployment of the Trillion bucks in the Japanese system is far from finished, together with a good $200 Billions or so provided by Summer and corporate profits and pensions, will provide, IMHO, excess liquidity worldwide for a good additional six months at least. By then the slowing economy will take Summer out of the game, and of course fear and even higher rates in treasuries, will soak additional liquidity. Short term (six to nine months), I think that after a small additional debacle right here, we should be looking at stronger markets. This will probably culminate with the "proof" that the "new era" is well and alive and create excess optimism leading to a more prolonged bear next year (IMHO).

Zeev
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