Echelon : some thoughts from a GG listserv member(dated March, but probably relevant). apologies for the (lack of) formatting, I did a cut/paste job. cheers, kumar -------------------------------- To: Gorilla Game discussion list <gg@webcom.com> Date: Thursday, March 02, 2000 5:43 AM Subject: Echelon (ELON)
>For the past year I have mmostly been a lurker/listener on this board. I've >also been watching Echelon since last February. So, with the caveat that >I'm still, basically, a beginner in serious DD, let me attempt a beginners >primer for Echelon. First, while it might not currently be a gorilla due to >the market cap and year to year revenue growth, as previously mentioned, it >is nevertheless true that this company has genuinely been designed from its >very beginning to be a gorilla. To me, the important question is not >whether it is or isn't a gorilla right now, but whether or not it has the >genuine capability to live up to its own goals. > >The CEO of Echelon is Ken Oshman, who joined Echelon in 1988, and who came >with a successful track record. Oshman co-founded the Rolm Corporation in >1969 and served as chief executive officer, president, and director until >Rolm was acquired by IBM in 1984. He then served as a vice president of IBM >until 1986. He has MS and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from >Stanford University. He is also a current member of the board of directors >of Sun Microsystems. This is important because Sun's Jini is often >mentioned as a competitor to Echelon, but it is not (More about this >later.). > >Echelon has two components: >1. Echelon: the company >2. LonWorks: the world-wide internet interoperable systems network, created >and developed by Echelon: the company. > >Echelon built the LonWorks network over many years and LonWorks has been >designated as the standard networking system for a number of industries, >Standard's boards, as well as for a few countries. A short while back >Finland made LonWorks their standard, causing a significant jump in the >stock price. > >A question previously asked was: When will the Tornado develop for control >network technology? > >Don't know. But the concept of "smart homes" seems to get the most media >attention. All we know is that the capability for everything to be internet >connected is rapdily approaching. TV's, kitchen applicances, garage doors, >lighting devices, cameras, sprinklers, you name it. But those items are >just the outer layer of system connections and will create only beginning >winds to this tornado. While not leaving out that market, Echelon has been >stealthly developing their hold onto those places where the real energy is >located. They have done this by identifying four main areas for product >growth: buildings, transportation, industrial automation, and home >automation. And it's the entire breadth of these combined areas for which >Echelon/Lonworks has no competition. > >A question previously asked was: Who is their competition? > >There are certainly other companies which have developed control systems >networks, but as I understand it, they work only when connected to devices >made by the same vendor, usually themselves. The main competitor which is >mentioned is Bacnet, developed through Rockwell [<http://www.bacnet.org>]. >But because >Echelon/Lonworks was purposefully developed around open architecture and >interoperability, which allows devices from all vendors to be connected to >each other, LonWorks has been able to develop a much wider networking >capability and, hence, a much larger audience for its own products. From >any competitive standpoint, the LonWorks open network is far superior to the >non-open network. > >Echelon designs and makes their own products such as routers, transceivers, >control modules, and other tools. They do not, however, have proprietary >rights over these products. [Products: <http://www.echelon.com/products/>] > >Other companies are free to design their own products. Echelon hopes that >it will be able to maintain it's first mover status and its own quality >products to give it a competitive edge. This week, Cisco praised the new >ilon router, causing the recent large jump in stock price. However, there >are also other main sources of revenue, an issue which I will address later. > >Another company which goes out of its way to identify itself as an Echelon >comptitor is Net Silicon [NSIL: <http://www.netsilicon.com/] And while NSIL >does connect devices to each other, they do not have the world-wide LonWorks >network with its already granted standards, nor the countless working >relationships, nor the existing LonMark Interoperability Association and its >partnerships with Cisco, Sun, etc. > >LonMark Interoperability Association: ><http://www.echelon.com/partners/lonmark/Default.htm> > >Concerning Sun's Jini, this link takes you to a series of articles on the >Echelon site about Jini: >http://search.echelon.com/query.html?rq=0&col=echelon&col=ni&qp=&qt=jini&qs =&qc=&pw=100%25&ws=1&la=&qm=0&st=1&nh=25&lk=1&rf=0&oq=&rq=0 > >For one example of the relationship between Echelon and Sun/Jini, here is >the lead sentence of one article: "LONWORKS extends the reach of Jini >technology to control devices With no incremental cost With no incremental >development With no incremental time to market With no loss of >functionality... " > >Now, along with the products produced by Echelon, and the LonWorks system >network, it's also important to know about the neuron chip, for this is the >heart of the whole Echelon enterprise and upon which the main revenue source >is based. To connect to the LonWorks network, one needs neuron chips. >Echelon designed and patented the original neuron chip. Then they >outsourced the making of the chip to Motorola and Toshiba. Last year, >Motorola didn't renew their contract and Cypress came on board. Toshiba >renewed for ten more years. > >The patent for the neuron chip can be downloaded from this page at Echelon. >It's the second article from the top: >http://search.echelon.com/query.html?col=echelon&col=ni&qp=&qt=neuron+paten t&qs=&qc=&pw=100%25&ws=1&qm=0&st=1&nh=25&lk=1&rf=0&rq=0 > >On page 5, item 6A, of this document, it states that Echelon is to receive >15 cents for each chip sold. Oshman has repeatedly said that there will be >trillions (plural) of neuron chips sold during the next decade. These >royalties based on an expanding market is thought to be one of Echelon's >golden geese. > >Just to show Echelon's range, here is the link to recent headlines, and a >few first lines from a important articles: ><http://www.echelon.com/Company/press/Default.htm> > >--German Group Selects Echelon's LNS Software As Its Standard >--Cisco Certifies Echelon's i.LON 1000 Internet Server >--Echelon Receives Worldwide Commitment From Honeywell For Its LONWORKS >Systems >--Russian Nuclear Power Plants Run Safely with Echelon's LONWORKS Networks >--Japan's Largest Information Services Company Becomes an Echelon Authorized >Network Integrator >--Echelon's LONWORKS Technology Chosen as Finland's Preferred Home >Networking Standard >--Sun's McNealy Presents the Networking of Everyday Devices with Echelon's >LONWORKS System >--Echelon's Networking Technology Adopted As ANSI Standard >--Echelon Corporation Takes Leadership Role in Microsoft?s Universal Plug >and Play Forum > >Another salient point is that Echelon received funds from the highly >respected Silicon Valley venture capital group Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & >Byers, and can be found on their website <http://www.kpcb.com/>. > >All in all, the breadth of Oshman's original vision is amazing, even to a >beginner like me. While there are no guarantees, it seems impossible to >deny the incredible system which Echelon has designed and created. And the >most amazing thing is that this company is still in its infancy. As the >previous questioner acknowledged: When will the Tornado develop for control >network technology? It hasn't even started yet. > >However, the more important question about Echelon's gorillaness, it seems >to me, has to do with whether or not the arena of control systems will >actually become a tornado alley. If the answer is no, then all bets are >off. But if it's yes, and that certainly looks to be the case, then the >eyes of the investment community must turn to Echelon which has been >patiently waiting to be discovered for what it has already done. This time >the tornado, if I may mix this metaphor, may be about to become a >full-fledged interoperable parade. > > |