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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: Chris who wrote ()5/23/2000 7:00:00 PM
From: donald sew   of 42787
 
MAY 23 INDEX UPDATE
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Short-term technical readings:
DOW - CLASS 2 BUY
SPX - borderline CLASS 1 BUY
OEX - borderline CLASS 1 BUY
NAZ - borderline CLASS 1 BUY
NDX - borderline CLASS 1 BUY
VIX - 29.30 midrange(inverse to market)
CBOE PUT:CALL RATIO - .48(actually declined)
5-DAY TRIN - 6.21

Since the overall market is now in CLASS BUY territory, we could get a bounce as early as tomorrow. If the overall market continues down tomorrow I would be getting firm CLASS 1 BUY signals, with the window until THUR's lows.

The NAZ/NDX/SPX/OEX did produce a LOWER LOW on a CLOSING BASIS. Sorry, but that ain't good. The next strong/important support line for the NAZ is around 2900.

The 5-DAY TRIN is in line with my class buy signals.

The VIX and CBOE PUT:CALL RATIO are not in line with my CLASS BUY signals. The VIX is only at 29.30 which is still a distance from the previous peak around 40, and my short-term technicals are basicly smack in the middle for the VIX which implies there is significant upside room(inverse to market).

What has really surprised me was that the CBOE PUT:CALL RATIO actually declined to .48 even with the overall market selling off. Sorry, but no sign of fear from the PUT:CALL RATIO.

As mentioned previously per my cycle analysis, I was suspecting some sort of bottom around FRI/TUE(MAY 26/30), so my short-term technicals may be 1-2 days early.

I do not expect the forthcoming bounce to be that strong nor should it last long. I do suspect that it will produce a LOWER HIGH; thereafter the market should either produce a LOWER LOW or ZIG-ZAG, possibly forming another chart formation like a TRIANGLE/FLAG/WEDGE/WONTON/ETC.

I would like to mention again that per my WEEKLY CHARTS I would get a BUY SIGNAL for the SPX/DOW around MID/END JUNE which would fit in line with
the FOMC meeting. It appears that I could get a BUY SIGNAL(WEEKLY CHARTS) for the NAZ/NDX as early as next week. If that was to occur I suspect that the NAZ may just ZIG-ZAG/DOUBLE-BOTTOM allowing the DOW/SPX to catch up to the downside.
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