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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Joe NYC who wrote (112523)5/25/2000 10:04:00 AM
From: pgerassi  Read Replies (1) of 1570652
 
Dear Jozef and Tgptndr:

OT

CPI over estimates inflation because it does not take into account buying habit changes over time. As certain items in the "Basket" become too high or cheaper alternatives become available, the basket should change to reflect this. This is normal over the greater than 10 year timescales. If the old freon was in the basket, paying 10 times more because it is being phased out would skew the CPI much to the high side. This happens for many of those things in the current basket. Thus, the current CPI is greater than it should be.

Many economists estimate that it overstates by as much as 10-20%. The "Real" CPI is probably half of the printed CPI. The US probably has a "Real" CPI of between 0.5% to 1.5%. I believe that in Europe, their CPI does not include their "VAT", value added tax (national sales tax), thus their CPI actually understates their "Real" CPI.

Pete
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