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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 652.56-1.5%4:00 PM EST
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To: Road Walker who wrote (52013)5/25/2000 1:47:00 PM
From: Fun-da-Mental#1  Read Replies (5) of 99985
 
PEG of the 10 largest companies by market cap.:

Company Mkt.Cap. Earnings P/E 5yrEG PEG 5yr.fwd.earn. 5yr.fwd.P/E
(B$) (B$) (%) (%) (B$)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
GE 502 11.1 45 13 15 22.3 23
INTC 393 8.3 48 26 20 20.7 19
CSCO 382 2.7 140 39 32 10.8 35
MSFT 345 9.1 38 43 21 23.6 15
XOM 288 9.4 31 3 9 14.5 20
WMT 253 5.8 44 16 15 11.7 22
NOK 222 3.0 75 34 30 11.1 20
C 207 10.5 20 18 14 20.2 10
IBM 194 7.6 26 27 14 14.6 13
ORCL 182 1.4 133 36 26 4.4 41
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
6 companies on NYSE:
1666 47.4 35 15 94.4 15
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 companies on Nasdaq:
1302 21.5 60 22 59.5 26
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Grand Total:
2968 68.9 43 17 153.9 19
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

These numbers are based on yesterday's closing prices.

Note how 5-year forward P/Es converge to 20. This is the justification
for current valuations. I must say I didn't realise how strong the
earnings growth had been for the past five years. The only question is
whether it's sustainable for another five. This means the economy has
to go full steam ahead, inflation be damned. If the Fed succeeds in
slowing growth in order to stop inflation, then the market has to fall.

Fun-da-Mental
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