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Non-Tech : Le coin des francophones

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To: sirinam who wrote (18757)5/25/2000 3:07:00 PM
From: sirinam  Read Replies (1) of 77509
 
Pour info: provenance Briefing.com hier p.m.
Le 62% de retracement fait r‚f‚rence … la th‚orie de Fibanocci.Y a-t-il un problŠme selon vous … ce que je publie un texte qui vient d'une source payante? Merci.

Chart Watch (OPENX)The selling spree in the Nasdaq Composite off of the March high
has potentially moved into another phase in the wake of the penetration of the April low
(3227). While the pace of the breakdown has not dramatically increased following this
move, unless the index can build value beyond the above barrier over the near term, it will
remain vulnerable to further decay. Therefore, we thought it prudent at this time to suggest
possible termination points under this weaker scenario. An initial target is at the psych
barrier of 3000. A test of this floor and the overdone technical posture could trigger a
round of bargain hunting but the April low will remain a key to a more sustainable
advance. Failure to accomplish such a sustained turnaround brings into focus technical
levels of more significance at 2923/2874 (Oct/Jul 1999 highs) and 2800 (62% retracement
off the Oct 98 weekly low). The lower end of the target band comes into play at 2632/02
(Oct 18 low/Apr 27 high).

Numerous individual issues, including Microsoft (MSFT), Applied Materials (AMAT) and
Juniper Networks (JNPR), are in a similar technical situation. Follow through selling in
MSFT targets $55 (200 day moving average) with a break pointing to weekly barriers
between $49/43. AMAT is rapidly approaching a solid barrier between $66 1/2 and $64
1/2. This represents a 62% retracement off the Oct 99 low and its 200 day moving average.
A run through here targets a congestive zone between $57/55. JNPR has already probed its
200 day moving average. Without a recovery beyond $155/160, it will shift its focus to a
series of highs between $128/125 (Dec 99).

While the pain may persist over the near term, the widespread oversold technical condition
and the important supports mentioned above should present opportunities to benefit on the
long side. -- Jim Schroeder, Briefing.com
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